Art with Heart

I was fortunate enough to start my morning with several hundred other folks at the Sheraton in downtown Seattle at the Color of Hope breakfast in support of Art with Heart.  Good friend and Gist CEO TA McCann introduced me to this organization and I must say I am very impressed.

Their mission is to "empower youth in crisis through therapeutic books and programs that foster self-expression."  It's about using art to help kids through difficult times and the program was really well done.  Check out the site to learn more and get involved.

Dawg Dash this morning

I did my part to try to help the Huskies salvage a miserable football season by participating in the Dawg Dash 10K on the University of Washington campus this morning.  This was the 23rd year for the race but my first time.

It was great to hang out on the field before and after the race.  Results aren't up yet, but my Timex Ironman watch showed me an unofficial 50ish minute finish time.  Not too shabby given my desire to take it a bit easy today (no athletic vendetta at play today).

Some calm and clear perspective on the current economic turmoil

I have been a fan of Charles Schwab & Co. for many years and use many of their financial products and services.  I thought this was a worthwhile bit of content to share and it is available on the public portion of their site. 

Their point of view – doomsday fears are overblown.

Have you stopped to think a moment about all the writers, analysts, pundits, journalists, etc. who so liberally use the word "depression" these days with such apparent expertise are the same ones who said nothing leading up to the current gyrations?  They don't know any more than you or I (and in some cases less) and are chasing ratings/subscribers/viewers.  The more dire the diagnosis, the more you tune in.  Take it with a grain of salt.

Read the whole thing from Schwab as it does a nice job comparing and contrasting where we were then vs. where we are now and calls out the following points as reasons to believe:

1.  'Jobless recovery' (from previous decline period means fewer reductions this time around)
2.  Fiscal policy (government focused on stimulus)
3.  Globalization (no protectionist mindset)
4.  The FDIC (it exists this time around)
5.  Money supply (Fed adding liquidity this time around)
6.  Housing near bottom (not there yet but falling less)
7.  Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (US Treasury steps in as a buyer)

No doubt, this is going to continue to be ugly for a while and the new sport of calling the bottom of the market decline needs to be replaced by nausea and vomiting before we really get there.  My view is positive in the long-term based on belief in the US and US economy.  I can't think any other way. 

Google jumps the shark

I like to poke a bit of fun at the Google gang here as it comes with the territory when you become the dominant player in so many things.  That said, I use lots of Google services from email to RSS to finance and would even (don't tell them) consider paying for it at some point should that buy me out of their ad driven world.  A topic for another day…

The point of this post is as follows: 

Google stock is experiencing what most stocks are experiencing these days – a steep decline.  Combine that with the fact that they are an "aging" technology company now at the grand old age of ten and the stage is set. 

Seeing this ridiculous feature now available for Gmail convinced me that they had indeed jumped the shark.  It's not April so it can't be a joke unless they paid to have the date moved.  Do some math before you send a late night email you might regret.  For real?

To me it looks like too many people working on too many things that just don't matter which led to this example of software development run amok.  My guess is that cuts are coming to more than just the free food budget and I hope that all that work to build out Googleplex North up the street from me here in Kirkland works out.  Otherwise there is some mighty nice new office space going to be available in short order.

Showing its age and aspirations, Google promotes Gartner MQ placement

I was perusing the various RSS feeds I work to scan everyday and this one from the Google enterprise blog caught my attention.  It is about Google being recognized as a "leader" by Gartner in their recent Email Security Boundary Magic Quadrant.  This is the product line from the Postini acquisition.

It struck me as a true sign of vying to be an established enterprise technology player when you tout recognition as a market leader by an analyst firm like Gartner Group.  Ten years into its life, Google shows us that it is not immune from having to play by the rules of the enterprise technology landscape. 

Update on the Seattle metro economy

We spent today running a few errands and happened to drop into REI in Redmond during their big sale.  We are shopping for dual strollers as we await the newest member of our family to join us and needed to go kick the tires on a few models.  Yes, that is where I am in my life and, yes, I am ok with it.

Judging by the cars in the parking lot, people in the store buying necessary "gear," and overall level of shopping going on, there is no visible slowdown out here among what David Brooks so accurately labels as 'Bobos' (read Bobos in Paradise for full explanation).  Guess I have guilt by association.

We wrapped our day at Red Robin which is a wonderful combination of family friendly, good burgers, and sports bar atmosphere.  Something for everyone and a fitting end to our outing. 

How a hedge fund tells its investors bad news

Ok, so this letter isn't nearly as uncomfortable to read as the one that has to go out to those who lost $2 billion when Texas Pacific Group led an investment in now JP Morgan assimilated Washington Mutual but it is still a good read.  Here's the NYTimes DealBook story on it.

It is a letter to shareholders in the TPG-Axon fund covering recent market "activity."

So for 2% mgmt fee plus 20% of any profit, how'd we do?  It can all be summed up in one word, according to fund manager Dinakar Singh – "abysmal."  Here's an article covering the launch of the fund a short four years ago with much fanfare and hype.

Mr. Market takes no prisoners and no matter how smart you are, how much data you have, or how confident you are in you abilities, he will get the best of you.  Just ask Mr. Singh.

Where are the opportunities according to Mr. Singh going forward?  Distressed mortgages, Chinese stocks and transportation. 

Are hedge funds good investments?  Well, think about the word "hedge" for a minute.  If it were a true "hedge" then wouldn't it have protected these investors against recent market craziness?

No thanks, I'll stick to index funds

10 Things That Will Change

Kiplinger's Personal Finance
is the only print magazine I subscribe to because I like the absence of
"get rich" stories featured in other money pubs and the focus on
personal investments.  It's not expensive and reading it will do
wonders for your financial security. 

This is a great list of items from them on what we can expect the regulatory and financial climate to look like going forward.  As the article points out, most of this will be familiar as everything old is new again.

"In reality, the change isn't to a new environment. It's a return to
traditional norms of the past, before cheap money inflated asset
values, undermined lending standards and encouraged excess risk. It's
bitter medicine, but it's necessary."


Amen.